China's Food Economy to the Twenty-first Century: Supply, Demand, and Trade

2020 Discussion Paper No. 19
China's Food Economy to the Twenty-first Century: Supply, Demand, and Trade
Jikun Huang (Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences), Scott Rozelle (Food Research Institute, Stanford University), and Mark W. Rosegrant
1997
Because of the sheer size of the country, China's grain situation could have an enormous effect on the world's grain supply and prices, but projections in various reports have varied widely. In this paper, the authors project that China will need to buy 24 million metric tons of grain from abroad by 2000, but then imports will stabilize. In determining China's supply and demand balances of grain through the year 2020, the authors account for the structural changes now taking place.

2020 Vision (logo) "A 2020 Vision for Food, Agriculture, and the Environment” is an initiative of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) to develop a shared vision and a consensus for action on how to meet future world food needs while reducing poverty and protecting the environment. Through the 2020 Vision initiative, IFPRI is bringing together divergent schools of thought on these issues, generating research, and identifying recommendations. The 2020 Discussion Papers present information on various aspects of the issues."

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