IMPACT, the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade, is a state-of-the-art model developed by IFPRI to generate projections to the year 2025 on global and regional food supply, demand, trade, and malnutrition. IMPACT-Water, an integrated water-food model, is also included in this report to assess current and future water resource availability. This version of IMPACT models a competitive agricultural market for thirty-two crop and livestock commodities* in five regions of Sub-Saharan Africa and two regions of West Asia/North Africa.
IMPACT projections in this report are used to assess the implications of three different policy and investment scenarios from 1997 to 2025:
Business as Usual: Continuation of current policy and investment trends.
Pessimistic: Policy and investment trends deteriorate by comparison with business as usual.
Vision: Policy and investment trends improve considerably by comparison with business as usual.
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (SSA)
Central and Western SSA: Benin, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Comoros, Congo Republic, Côte d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of Congo, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, and Togo
Eastern SSA: Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda
Nigeria
Northern SSA: Burkina Faso, Chad, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Somalia, and Sudan
Southern SSA: Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Reunion, Swaziland, Zambia, and Zimbabwe
WEST ASIA and NORTH AFRICA (WANA)
Egypt
Turkey (child malnutrition data only)
Other WANA countries: Algeria, Cyprus, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen