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Southeast Asia
Assessments and Projections from Outlook for Fish to 2020: Meeting Global Demand
- In 2020, Southeast Asia will produce a projected 17.5 million metric tons of fish, a 39 percent increase over 1997 production levels. By comparison, the entire developed world is projected to produce 27.6 million metric tons in 2020.
- Aquaculture will account for a projected 29 percent of all fish production in Southeast Asia in 2020. In 1997, it represented 18 percent of Southeast Asia's total catch.
- Southeast Asia will consume a projected 16.7 million metric tons of fish in 2020. This would be a 48 percent increase over 1997 consumption levels.
- Under the baseline scenario, consumption of high-value finfish in Southeast Asia in 2020 will be 68 percent higher than it was in 1997, and will account for a projected 18.6 percent of all fish consumed in the region.
- Net exports of all fish for food in Southeast Asia are projected to decline sharply, from 1.1 million metric tons in 1997 to 482,000 metric tons in 2020.
- Net imports of low-value food fish in Southeast Asia in 2020 are projected to increase by more than 200 percent over 1997 net import levels, climbing from 267,000 to 808,000 metric tons.
Other facts about Southeast Asia:
- In Vietnam, higher prices for agricultural products boosted agricultural income in 2001. Agriculture represents 23.6 percent of gross domestic product, although its share is declining. (World Bank, World Development Indicators and Economic Brief, 2003)
- Almost half of the Philippines' 400 rivers are characterized as biologically dead due to contamination from industrial and residential runoff and inadequate sewer and drainage infrastructure. The country has 26 endangered fish species. (US-Asia Environmental Partnership 2003 Fiscal Year Work Plan; Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species UK, 2003)
- Agriculture represents approximately 20 percent of GDP in Southeast Asia, and remains the dominant source of employment in the region. (World Bank, World Development Indicators, South Asia and East Asia, 2003)
- Malaysia, with an 8.5 percent growth rate in 2000, is the only Southeast Asian country in which economic recovery is strong enough to significantly reduce poverty. (Asian Development Bank, Economics and Statistics in Southeast Asia and Malaysia, 2003)
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