Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context

Amanda Palazzo, Joost M. Vervoort, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Lucas Rutting, Petr Havlík, Shahnila Islam, Jules Bayala, Hugo Valin, Hame Kadi Kadi, Philip Thornton, Robert Zougmore
global environmental change

In this paper, we present scenarios for West Africa developed by regional stakeholders and quantified using two global economic models, GLOBIOM and IMPACT, in interaction with stakeholder-generated narratives and scenario trends and SSP assumptions. We present this process as an example of linking comparable scenarios across levels to increase coherence with global contexts, while presenting insights about the future of agriculture and food security under a range of future drivers including climate change.