Rainfall shocks are not necessarily a sensitive early indicator of changes in wasting prevalence

Natasha Ledlie, Harold Alderman, Jef L. Leroy, Liangzhi [游良志] You
european journal of clinical nutrition

This study explores whether deviation in rainfall in Ethiopia, a drought prone country, is a sensitive indicator of future increases in wasting. Around 12% of children 0–23 months were wasted, but we found no consistent association between the rainfall shock variables and child weight-for-height Z-scores. The results indicate that monitoring rainfall does not provide a practical early warning to use for scaling up financing and management of preventative measures without additional information to increase precision.

In Press