Ethiopia’s agricultural sector has grown rapidly since 2000 due to a doubling in the use of modern inputs (chemical fertilizers and improved seeds), significant land expansion, increased labor use, and a 2.3 percent per year growth in total factor
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Urbanization and structural transformation
Chapter 12, “Urbanization and Structural Transformation,” describes patterns of urbanization in Ethiopia and government policy to promote development of secondary cities.
Finally, Chapter 14, “Toward a Medium-Term Agricultural and Rural Development Strategy,” highlights the book’s major themes and discusses implications for policy.
Chapter 8, “Evolving Animal Sourced Foods and Livestock Markets,” covers the changing situation in livestock marketing systems.
Climate change impacts on crop yields
Chapter 4, “Climate Change Impacts on Crop Yields,” presents results of model simulations of crop yields in Ethiopia through 2085.
Evolving food value chains
The second part of the book, “Evolving Markets and Household Consumption,” begins with Chapter 7 on “Evolving Food Value Chains.” Ethiopia’s food systems are changing rapidly as high population growth, rapid urbanization, major infrastructure inve
Crop productivity and potential
Chapter 3, “Crop Productivity and Potential,” documents and explains the causal factors for the rapid expansion in crop production in Ethiopia (official estimates show an increase in production of grain crops from 16.1 million metric tons to 30.6
Food security
Chapter 10, “Food Security,” describes the evolution of poverty and food security between 2010/2011 and 2015/2016 and examines the seasonality of food insecurity.
Chapter 9, “Droughts, Cereal Prices, and Price Stabilization Options,” looks at price volatility, causes, and policy options. Increases in cereal prices in Ethiopia often raise concerns about adverse effects for poor net consumers.
Nonfarm income and rural labor markets
The third part of the book presents “Economywide Perspectives” on the future of Ethiopian agriculture.
Cropland expansion
Chapter 2, “Cropland Expansion,” uses spatially disaggregated satellite data to examine changes in land use over time at the national level. This is the first time that such dynamic analysis has been examined at this level.
Farm size, food security, and welfare
Chapter 6, “Farm Size, Food Security, and Welfare,” looks at the association of farm sizes with food security and welfare.
Public investments and poverty reduction
Chapter 13, “Public Investments and Poverty Reduction,” presents results of general equilibrium simulations of the impacts of alternative investment strategies, focusing on national income (GDP) and incomes of the poorest 40 percent of the populat
Evolving livestock sector
Chapter 5, “Evolving Livestock Sector,” shows that livestock is important in Ethiopia’s agricultural economy as almost all farmers own some livestock.