Scientists' project increased risk to water supplies in South Africa this century (Phys.org)

Phys.org published an article on how researchers at the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, IFPRI, and CGIAR have produced modeled projections of 21st-century changes in seasonal surface air temperature and precipitation for South Africa that systematically and comprehensively account for uncertainties in how Earth and socioeconomic systems behave and co-evolve. Presented in a study, The changing nature of hydroclimatic risks across South Africa in the journal Climatic Change, these projections show how temperature and precipitation over three sub-national regions—western, central, and eastern South Africa—are likely to change under a wide range of global climate mitigation policy scenarios. "Our analysis provides risk-based evidence on the benefits of climate mitigation policies as well as unavoidable climate impacts that will need to be addressed through adaptive measures," says MIT Joint Program Deputy Director C. Adam Schlosser, the lead author of the study. (Reach 16K) Also published in Mirage News.