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journal article

Extreme events and production shocks for key crops in southern Africa under climate change

Many studies have estimated the effect of climate change on crop productivity, often reflecting uncertainty about future climates by using more than one emissions pathway or multiple climate models, usually fewer than 30, and generally much fewer,

journal article

Using a large climate ensemble to assess the frequency and intensity of future extreme climate events in southern Africa

This paper uses 7,200 smoothed climate change projections for each of the four emissions scenarios, together with inter-annual variation provided by detrended historical climate data to investigate changes in growing season (wettest 3 months) weat