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discussion paper

When implementation goes wrong: Lessons from crop insurance in India

Based on experiments to bring about comprehensive crop insurance coverage over the last 50 years, the Indian government introduced a new crop insurance program, called Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), in April 2016.

discussion paper

Forecasting commodity prices using long-short-term memory neural networks

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods.

discussion paper

A land accounting model for IMPACT (with early results)

Understanding the global distribution of agricultural production provides valuable context for policymaking concerning development, wellbeing, and climate change.