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discussion paper

When implementation goes wrong: Lessons from crop insurance in India

Based on experiments to bring about comprehensive crop insurance coverage over the last 50 years, the Indian government introduced a new crop insurance program, called Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), in April 2016.

discussion paper

Forecasting commodity prices using long-short-term memory neural networks

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods.

discussion paper

A land accounting model for IMPACT (with early results)

Understanding the global distribution of agricultural production provides valuable context for policymaking concerning development, wellbeing, and climate change.

discussion paper

Geographic space, assets, livelihoods and well-being in rural Central America

This paper uses an asset-base framework to analyze the determinants of rural growth and sustainable poverty reduction for the three poorest countries in Central America: Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua...Using a combination of GIS mapping techni