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project paper

Tools for measuring the full impacts of agricultural interventions

A first step in evaluating the effects of agricultural investments in developing countries to recognize that policy makers will almost certainly have multiple objectives.

project paper

Impacts of agricultural investments on growth and poverty: A review of literature

Agricultural development is crucial in developing countries, and particularly in the poorest countries where it accounts for large shares of employment and income and whose poverty is due simply to having a large share of the workforce in low-prod

project paper

Prioritizing agricultural investments across commodities for income growth and poverty reduction: Methods and applications

Some agricultural investments are commodity-specific, meaning that they increase the productivity of production, processing, or marketing of a single agricultural commodity or a set of closely-related commodities.

journal article

Multivariate random forest prediction of poverty and malnutrition prevalence

Advances in remote sensing and machine learning enable increasingly accurate, inexpensive, and timely estimation of poverty and malnutrition indicators to guide development and humanitarian agencies’ programming.

journal article

Income, consumer preferences, and the future of livestock-derived food demand

Projecting future demand for livestock-derived foods depends on interactions between income, prices, and the income elasticity of that demand.

journal article

Agricultural subsidies and global greenhouse gas emissions

Substantially reducing GHG emissions from agriculture while safeguarding food security requires a more comprehensive revamping of existing support to agriculture & food consumption.

discussion paper

Forecasting commodity prices using long-short-term memory neural networks

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods.

journal article

A cultivated planet in 2010 - Part 2: The global gridded agricultural-production maps

Data on global agricultural production are usually available as statistics at administrative units, which does not give any diversity and spatial patterns; thus they are less informative for subsequent spatially explicit agricultural and environme

discussion paper

Impacts of COVID-19 on global poverty, food security and diets

This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on poverty, food insecurity and diets, accounting for the complex links between the crisis and the incomes and living costs of vulnerable households.