The February 2022 invasion of Ukraine triggered trade disruptions and significant increases in international prices for energy, agricultural commodities, and fertilizer, which were already elevated due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, including value chain disruptions. Although global food and fertilizer prices have now receded from their peak levels, they remain high compared to pre-COVID levels, contributing to high domestic food price inflation in many low- and middle-income countries.


Book
The Russia-Ukraine conflict and global food security
When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, sparking fears of a global food crisis, IFPRI responded rapidly to the need for information and policy advice to address the crisis. From the first moments of the conflict, a new IFPRI blog series provided critical information and insights into the impacts on food security, caused by rising food, fertilizer, and fuel prices and trade disruptions, for vulnerable countries and regions. This book is a compilation of those blog posts, which include analysis of trade flows, tracking of food prices and policy responses, and results of impact modeling. Together, they provide an overview of how the crisis has progressed, how the international community and individual countries responded with efforts to ensure food security, and what we are learning about the best ways to ensure food security in the aftermath of a major shock to global food systems.

More information
Global Crisis Country Brief Series

The recent rapid rise in food, fuel, and fertilizer prices has raised concerns about economic stability, food security, and poverty in developing countries. IFPRI’s researchers have used two approaches to assess the impacts of these price shocks on a wide set of countries. The first approach used IFPRI’s economywide model (RIAPA) to estimate the expected effects of these price shocks on both farm and off-farm incomes and employment, food supplies, household consumption, inequality, poverty, and diet quality for 19 countries. The second approach assessed the degree of transmission of international price shocks for staple foods to domestic prices, and then used a household income and expenditure model to assess the resulting impacts on poverty in 6 countries. Separate country briefs have been prepared based on each approach. Click on the tabs below to read the briefs.
All RIAPA model-based briefs are also available at AgriLinks website. All household model-based briefs can also be accessed at the Food Security Portal.

Bangladesh: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Burkina Faso
brief
Cambodia: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Democratic Republic of the Congo: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Egypt: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slides
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Ethiopia
brief
Ghana: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Russia-Ukraine war and the global crisis: Impacts on poverty and food security in developing countries
brief | Slide
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Kenya
brief
Malawi: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Mali
brief
Myanmar: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Nepal: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Niger
brief
Poverty impacts of food price increases in Nigeria
brief
The Philippines: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | SLIDE
Rwanda: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Senegal: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Tanzania: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Uganda: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Zambia: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security
brief | Slide
Blogs

Johan Swinnen, IFPRI Director General and Managing Director of CGIAR’s Systems Transformation Science Group, and Joseph Glauber, IFPRI Senior Research Fellow, serve as editors of this special blog series, which aims to shed light on the continuing repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine war and other factors exacerbating food price inflation and food insecurity, and to provide in-depth analysis and propose policy responses that can enhance the resilience of national and global food systems.



Events
Publications
IFPRI in the News

Tools

Excessive Food Price Variability Early Warning System

innovative food policy analysis tools

Food Security Portal

Provides international, regional, and country-level data, news, and researches

Food & Fertilizer Export Restrictions Tracker

Fertilizer Dashboard

IFPRI Analyses: Country-Level Impacts of High Food, Fuel and Fertilizer Prices