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Spotlight on the Coronavirus Outbreak
IFPRI is curating a series of analyses from IFPRI researchers and guest contributors on the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on national and global food and nutrition security, poverty, and development. The webpage will continue to be updated with new analyses in the coming weeks and months. ( Visit Spotlight)
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Global Poverty Could Spike: A 1 percent reduction in global economic growth would translate into an increase in the global extreme poverty rate of 1.7%- 3%, with different regions experiencing varied impacts, according to a simulation by Rob Vos, Will Martin, and David Laborde. (Read Blog)
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The Plight of Small Businesses: COVID-19 has landed a heavy blow on Chinese small and medium sized businesses, with 80% percent of firms still at a standstill as of mid-February, according to an original survey and analysis by Xiaobo Zhang. (Read Blog)
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Stable Staples: Rob Vos, Will Martin, and David Laborde explain that while the pandemic may not have major direct impacts on the supply of staple foods, there is still critical need for fiscal stimuli, social protection, and healthcare. (Read Blog)
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Lessons for Preventing a Food Security Crisis: Shenggen Fan reviews lessons learned from previous epidemics as well as the 2008 food price crisis, and identifies solutions that can prevent a spike in food prices and ensure a stable and resilient food system. (Read Blog)
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A Continued Threat: China has taken unprecedented steps to try to contain coronavirus, but what about risks to the country's food and nutrition security? Kevin Chen, Yumei Zhang, Yue Zhan, Shenggen Fan, and Wei Si explain why the country is not out of the danger zone yet. (Read Blog)
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A Range of Economic Impacts
In their simulation of the likely global economic slowdown associated with COVID-19, Rob Vos, Will Martin, and David Laborde show that containment measures and possible trade disruptions could significantly raise poverty in Africa and South Asia. Africa’s poor would be hit hardest if trade channels get disrupted. South Asia would see most of the poverty increase amongst its populations, if the global slowdown is mainly caused by a widespread paralysis in economic activity. ( Read Blog)
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