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The Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to destabilize global markets and food security in multiple ways, including most recent developments such as the termination of the Black Sea Grain Initiative.
Since the start of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, IFPRI researchers have worked diligently to provide timely analyses of the conflict's impacts. Our new e-book, The Russia-Ukraine Conflict & Global Food Security, a compilation of 35 stories from the special blog series on the matter, provides an overview of how the crisis has progressed over the first year, how the international community and individual countries responded to ensure food security, and what we are learning about the best ways to do it in the aftermath of a major shock.
The importance and timeliness of this work by IFPRI team was recognized by the Agricultural & Applied Economics Association (AAEA). On July 24, Joseph Glauber, David Laborde, and Charlotte Hebebrand received the 2023 AAEA Quality of Communication Award during the AAEA Awards and Fellows Recognition Ceremony at the Association's Annual Meeting in Washington, D.C.
Congratulations also to IFPRI's DG Johan Swinnen and Prof. Miet Maertens (KU Leuven) who received the AAEA Publication of Enduring Quality Award for their paper “Trade, Standards, and Poverty: Evidence from Senegal” (World Development, 2009)!
Read more about both awards here.
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Russia terminates the Black Sea Grain Initiative: What’s next for Ukraine and the world?
On July 17, Russia announced that it was terminating the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which allowed exports of grains and other agricultural commodities from Ukrainian ports.
Since the agreement took effect on July 22, 2022, Ukraine has exported almost 33 million metric tons of wheat, maize, and other agricultural products. That has helped to keep Ukraine’s agricultural economy afloat in the midst of war. Much of the exports have gone to developing countries, and overall the deal has contributed to a decline in agricultural prices that has benefited consumers around the world. How will Ukraine and the rest of the world cope now that the deal appears to be over?
(Read Blog)
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End of Black Sea grain deal: Alternative routes will be ‘very costly’ for Ukraine, analyst says: In an interview for CNBC, Joseph Glauber discusses the halting of the U.N.-brokered Black Sea grain deal after Russia’s withdrawal and the options Ukraine has to export its grains. (Video) (More coverage of the issue with IFPRI comments from The Economist, Vox, The Washington Post, Voice of America, NPR, and others on our News page)
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Indonesia’s cassava push leaves bitter taste in Borneo rainforest: In a Reuters feature on cassava production in Indonesia, Claudia Ringler calls for "greater efficiency on existing farmland" instead of converting more jungle into cassava plantations.
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Rice crops are being threatened by El Niño after grain supplies were disrupted by the war in Ukraine: Abdullah Mamun point to "alarm bells" in this Associated Press article, referring to rising rice prices due to shortfalls in production.
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How Africa can achieve fertilizer security: Pan African Agriculture magazine published an extensive interview with Charlotte Hebebrand who discusses the state of the fertilizer industry in Africa, how adoption of innovations can make the commodity affordable, and the ongoing need to build viable fertilizer markets for both imported and domestically produced fertilizers.
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Low dairy consumption linked to increased rate of child stunting - research: Food Navigator features a recent study by IFPRI researchers Beliyou Haile and Derek Headey, "Growth in milk consumption and reductions in child stunting: Historical evidence from cross-country panel data."
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India’s new ban on rice exports: Potential threats to global supply, prices, and food security
On July 20, India announced that it would restrict exports of non-basmati rice to calm domestic rice prices that had risen more than 30% since October 2022. The ban would halt overseas sales of the grain with “immediate effect,” the government announced, and is estimated to cover about 75%-80% of Indian rice exports. The ban is the latest blow to the global rice market, whose prices have risen 15%-20% since September 2022. In this issue post, Joseph Glauber and Abdullah Mamun explore potential threats to global supply, prices, and food security. (Read Blog)
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Forget me not: Recent crisis-driven increases in food and nutrition insecurity, coupled with the growing threat of climate change, have highlighted the need for drastic changes in our food systems. The cultivation and consumption of neglected crops presents a valuable opportunity to improve livelihoods and nutrition and reduce environmental impacts of food production, particularly in Latin America. (Read Blog)
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Water wars: As climate change persists, fights over access to safe, clean water are expected to intensify and resolving disputes will be even harder. Claudia Ringler and Sarah Ann Wheeler challenge the concept of a global “social cost of water" and offer new ways to address the water crisis by focusing on local management and institutions, planning carefully, and implementing a wide range of policies. (Read Oped)
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Sowing seeds: Conventional approaches to potato cultivation in Bangladesh involve heavy pulverization of the soil in four rounds of tilling before sowing and can lead to topsoil erosion. Climate-smart interventions like strip planting from the Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI) can help prevent soil erosion and cut costs for smallholder farmers. (Read Blog)
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Speak up: Often overlooked barriers such as a lack of women's voice and agency in both private and public spaces limit women's ability to increase or diversify their income, constraining political and economic opportunities. A new project in Nigeria focuses on cultivating women's leadership and advocacy skills. (Read Blog)
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GFPR 2023 LAC launch: Food systems have experienced a multitude of shocks in recent years that threaten food and nutrition security around the world. The Latin America and Caribbean region (LAC), which plays an important role in ensuring the stability of the global food system, has been hit hard by these disruptions. (Read Blog | Watch the Event)
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Foresight, climate change, and agrifood systems: A CGIAR side event at the AIM4C Summit hosted at IFPRI in Washington DC provided an opportunity to meet with climate scientists working on modeling impacts of climate change on crop productivity, food security, and livelihoods. James Thurlow and Faaiqa Hartley presented IFPRI and CGIAR's work on foresight analysis of climate change patterns. (Read Blog)
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The figure above shows the average calorie consumption of Kenyans from each food group–disaggregated by rural, peri-urban, and urban living areas–as well as the recommended consumption levels for each food group as specified in the EAT-Lancet healthy reference diet. On average, Kenyans do not consume enough calories in total, and those they consume primarily come from starchy staples.
In a new policy brief A healthy diet Is costly, but even with limited income Kenyans can eat better, Olivier Ecker, Andrew Comstock, and Karl Pauw find that drivers of diet quality can be targeted by policy instruments and technological innovations to shift food choices toward nutritious foods that, if consumed more, would result in diets that improve the health and quality of life of many Kenyans.
(Download Policy Brief)
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Cultivating diversity: Bolstering farm-level crop diversity is one strategy to strengthen food system resilience and achieve food security. Women living in rural areas play an essential role in food production. Lilia Bliznashka, Aulo Gelli, Jessica Heckert and colleagues find that women's input into productive decisions, asset ownership, and group membership were associated with increased farm-level crop diversity. (Read Article in The Lancet Planetary Health) (Press-Release) (Editorial)
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Brain food: Animal-source foods (ASF) provide nutrition for children's and adolescents’ physical and cognitive development. Alan de Brauw, Mourad Moursi, and colleagues quantify global, regional, and national ASF intakes between 1990 and 2018 by age group across 185 countries, representing 93% of the world’s child population. Mean ASF intake increased in all regions except sub-Saharan Africa. (Read Article in Nature Food)
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Cash, calories, & conflict: The most dramatic outcomes of protracted civil conflict include increased malnutrition among children and the resulting consequences for lifelong health and prosperity. Yet, little is known about how to mitigate the nutritional impact of conflict. Olivier Ecker and colleagues estimate the impact of civil conflict in Yemen on child nutrition and the effect of unconditional cash transfers in mitigating the adverse nutritional impacts. (Read Article in Economic Development and Cultural Change)
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Breaking bad habits: Phuong Hong Nguyen and coauthors explore the problem of unhealthy eating habits among adolescents, specifically girls 16–22 years, in Vietnam. Authors believe that successful behavior change approaches must be feasible but additional interventions, such as supplementation, staple food fortification, or increasing the availability of affordable calcium- and iron-rich foods, may be necessary. (Read Article in The Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences)
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Women on the move: Little evidence exists to identify the effects of the pandemic on migrant women and the unique barriers on employment they endure. Valerie Mueller and colleagues merge longitudinal data from mobile phone surveys with subnational data on COVID-19 cases to examine whether women were left more immobile and vulnerable to health risks, relative to men, during the pandemic in Kenya and Nigeria. (Read Article in Population Research and Policy Review)
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In our latest photo essay, Claudia Ringler, Tiruwork Arega, Hagar El Didi, Fekadu Gelaw, and Natnael Sosa discuss how adapting behavioral game interventions in Ethiopia have the potential to improve understanding of groundwater systems and the need for institutional arrangements to govern their shared resource.
"Because states are limited in their ability to regulate groundwater extraction, collective action at the community level is important to sustainably manage groundwater resources in hotspot areas. Behavioral games that simulate real-life resource use have shown promise as a way to improve resource governance." (Read Story)
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 Irrigation sensible à la nutrition au Mali: un guide pour progresser en matière de sécurité hydrique, alimentaire et nutritionnelle au Mali
August 2, 2023, 9:00 - 10:30 AM EDT
Market concentration in the grain industry: Implications for food security?
September 7, 2023, 9:30 - 11:00 AM EDT
Please check our Events page for most recent updates.
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Everyone should have access to good nutrition, no matter who they are.
The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), CGIAR, and a consortium of partners from across the globe are co-hosting this year’s conference, “Delivering for Nutrition in South Asia: Equity and Inclusion” in Kathmandu, Nepal as well as online on November 1-2, 2023. The event will bring together researchers, program implementers, and policymakers to discuss innovative strategies for improving nutrition outcomes, with a focus on equity and inclusion in South Asia.
Abstract submissions are invited on the following topical areas related to equity and inclusion:
- Agriculture
- Food environments
- Health systems
- Diets
- Social protection
Deadline for submissions: August 31, 2023 (23:59 GMT).
For more information, visit: https://bit.ly/D4N2023
For any questions, please contact IFPRI-D4N-CONF@cgiar.org.
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