
Future Food Systems
The Future Food Systems team works with government agencies and national technical partners to support the integration of food systems into national climate and development planning. This includes aligning food systems with Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), National Agricultural Investment Plans (NAIPs), and National Development Plans (NDPs).
Our work helps identify cost-effective pathways and policies that build resilient and sustainable food systems. Using advanced foresight and modeling tools developed by our IFPRI researchers, we provide evidence-based analysis and actionable policy recommendations tailored to country priorities. The team also prioritizes capacity strengthening—transferring modeling tools and analytical capabilities to national partners to support long-term, country-led planning and decision-making.
IFPRI Related Projects

Agrifood Investment Prioritization
Using the RIAPA modeling system, the analysis evaluates how different investments contribute to outcomes such as agrifood GDP growth, job creation, poverty reduction, improved nutrition, and environmental sustainability. This body of work also examine how investment priorities may shift over time and under shocks like droughts, helping inform more adaptive and forward-looking strategieIFPRI uses economywide modeling to rank agrifood investments by their cost-effectiveness in advancing development goals such as growth, poverty reduction, improvements in undernourishment, diet quality, and environmental sustainability. The analysis also considers how investment priorities shift across time and under shocks like climate extremes. These insights support more adaptive, climate-aware strategies for long-term resilience and inclusive development.

Agrifood system (AFS) diagnostics
This diagnostic exercise assesses the role and transformative potential of agrifood systems in low- and middle-income countries. By analyzing detailed national accounts data and agricultural production estimates the analysis reveals the unique structural features of countries’ agrifood systems and the role of agrifood value chains in transforming economies. A detailed assessment of the environmental footprints of agrifood value chains (greenhouse gas emissions and water use) is also provided, which together with the economic assessment can help inform value chain policy decisions.

Economywide Risk Assessments
These IFPRI country briefs apply machine learning and simulation to assess the vulnerability of economies and populations to global market and domestic production shocks. The analysis identifies key sources of uncertainty and their socioeconomic impacts. Findings can help inform strategies to reduce risk through productivity gains, resilient technologies, and economic diversification.



