War and resilience: The multifaceted impacts of Sudan’s conflict and pathways to recovery
IFPRI Book published in April 2026
Sudan is facing one of the most severe humanitarian and economic crises in its modern history. The current civil war has displaced millions and severely damaged livelihoods, markets, and institutions, causing a rapid deterioration in the economy, agrifood systems, and population welfare.
War and Resilience: The Multifaceted Impacts of Sudan’s Conflict and Pathways to Recovery situates the current conflict within Sudan’s longer historical trajectory, explaining how structural factors contributed to the war’s progression and scale. Drawing on recent household and enterprise surveys, satellite indicators, market price data, and economywide modeling, the book documents the crisis’s impacts and identifies realistic entry points for stabilization and recovery.
Written by leading IFPRI researchers and colleagues, War and Resilience highlights how Sudan’s population has shown remarkable resilience through social networks, remittances, informal support systems, and adaptation across rural and urban settings. Its final chapters offer decision-makers a forward-looking assessment of pathways toward recovery.
Press Release
Table of contents
Chapters (1-15)
Chapter 1. Introduction
By Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; and Dorosh, Paul A.
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182363 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 2. Origins and causes of Sudan’s conflict: Domestic and international perspectives
By Baldo, Suliman
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182364 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 3. State failure and elite capture of Sudan’s agrifood system
By Resnick, Danielle; Abushama, Hala; Kirui, Oliver K.; Siddig, Khalid; and Ahmed, Mosab O. M.
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182365 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 4. Monitoring economic activities: Leveraging satellite and remotesensing technologies
By Guo, Zhe; Abushama, Hala; Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; Timu, Anne G.; Zhou, Shuang; Abay, Kibrom A.; and You, Liangzhi
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182366 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 5. Cereal production, markets, and policy in Sudan
By Dorosh, Paul A.; Kirui, Oliver K.; and Siddig, Khalid
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182367 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 6. Conflict-induced trade dynamics: A gravity framework analysis of
Sudan’s agricultural exports
By Ayesu, Enock Kojo; Kornher, Lukas; Sakyi, Daniel; and Abushama, Hala
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182368 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 7. Economywide impact of Sudan’s conflict and pathways to
recovery
By Siddig, Khalid; Elnour, Zuhal; and Thurlow, James
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182369 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 8. Food consumption patterns and dietary diversity amid conflict
By Svensson, Fredrik; and Kirui, Oliver K.
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182370 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 9. Worsening food security in Sudan amid conflict
By Kirui, Oliver K.; Siddig, Khalid; Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum; and Abushama, Hala
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182379 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 10. Human capital at risk: The impact of conflict on health and
education in Sudan
By Ebaidalla, Ebaidalla M.; Gebrail, Mohammed; Suliman, Gotada; Kirui, Oliver K.; Rakhy, Tarig Alhaj; and Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182380 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 11. Shocks, coping, and household livelihood strategies in wartime
By Kirui, Oliver K.; and Rakhy, Tarig Alhaj
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182381 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 12. Delivering aid amid active conflict and insecurity: Digital transfers
for delivering social and humanitarian assistance in Sudan
By Abay, Kibrom A.; Abushama, Hala; Mohamed, Shima; and Siddig, Khalid
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182383 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 13. Drivers of vulnerability and low resilience in Sudan
By Chaitani, Youssef; and Chung, Hong Pum
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182384 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 14. A Sudanese strategy for postconflict, agriculture-led
transformative growth
By Elbadawi, Ibrahim
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182385 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Chapter 15. Toward a prosperous and secure Sudan: A way forward
By Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; and Dorosh, Paul A.
Permanent link – https://hdl.handle.net/10568/182386 (Chapter) / https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201 (Full Book)
Events
-
April 14 to 15, 2026Three Years of Conflict: What the Evidence Tells Us and What Recovery Requires
April 2026 marks three years since the outbreak of the conflict in Sudan, which has severely disrupted economic activity, food systems, and social services. More than half of the country’s population is in need of assistance, and communities, markets, and institutions are under unprecedented pressure.