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With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

researcher spotlight

Timothy Thomas

Timothy Thomas is a Senior Research Fellow in the Foresight and Policy Modeling Unit. His research focuses on the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity. Tim’s work involves developing innovative methods for simulated climate futures and model coordination between climate, crop, water, energy, and economics.

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Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

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IFPRI currently has more than 480 employees working in over 70 countries with a wide range of local, national, and international partners.

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partnerships

Russian Federation, in partnership with Lomonosov Moscow State University’s Eurasian Center for Food Security, works to improve food security through a sustainable management of natural resources and food market regulation. Its mission is to encourage and coordinate collective action to strengthen food security in Eurasia through research and development. The Center was created in a response to the G8’s L’Aquila Food Security Initiative and prioritizes food security and agricultural sustainability as important policy developments at the global, regional and national levels.

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Publications

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Journal Article

Land Reform and Child Health in the Kyrgyz Republic

2024Kosec, Katrina; Shemyakina, Olga N.
Details

Land Reform and Child Health in the Kyrgyz Republic

Can the establishment of private property rights to land improve child health and nutrition outcomes? We exploit a natural experiment in the Kyrgyz Republic following the collapse of socialism, whereby the government rapidly liquidated state and collective farms containing 75 percent of agricultural land and distributed it to individuals, providing 99-year transferable use rights. We use household surveys collected before, during, and after the privatization reform and spatial variation in its timing to identify its health and nutrition impacts. We find that young children aged 0-5 exposed to land privatization for longer periods of time accumulated significantly greater gains in height- and weight- for-age z-scores, both critical measures of long-term child health and nutrition. Health improvements appear to be driven by increases in consumption of home-produced food rather than increased income from sale of production, likely due to under-developed markets. We find minimal impacts on urban-dwelling children affected only indirectly by the reform.

Year published

2024

Authors

Kosec, Katrina; Shemyakina, Olga N.

Citation

Kosec, Katrina; and Shemyakina, Olga. 2024. Land reform and child health in the Kyrgyz Republic. Economic Development and Cultural Change 72(2). https://doi.org/10.1086/719463

Country/Region

Kyrgyzstan

Keywords

Asia; Central Asia; Land Reform; Health; Children; Nutrition; Privatization; Land Tenure; Child Nutrition; Child Health; Capacity Development

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.1086/719463 Source record

Project

Fragility, Conflict, and Migration

Record type

Journal Article

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Journal Article

Aspirations and women’s empowerment: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

2022Kosec, Katrina; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Mirkasimov, Bakhrom; Song, Jie; Zhao, Hongdi
Details

Aspirations and women’s empowerment: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

There is an enormous interest in development interventions aimed at reducing behavioural poverty traps, including by raising women’s and girls’ aspirations, or future-oriented goals. However, little is known about how women’s aspirations influence their gender attitudes, the marriages into which they select and their involvement in intra-household decision-making. We find that women in Kyrgyzstan with higher aspirations are more likely to espouse egalitarian gender attitudes, as are their husbands, and their husbands have higher aspirations. They also live in households in which women play a greater role in decision-making, and in which spouses are more likely to agree about women’s roles in decision-making.

Year published

2022

Authors

Kosec, Katrina; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Mirkasimov, Bakhrom; Song, Jie; Zhao, Hongdi

Citation

Kosec, Katrina; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Mirkasimov, Bakhrom; Song, Jie; and Zhao, Hongdi. 2022. Aspirations and women’s empowerment: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan. Economics of Transition and Institutional Change 30(1): 101-134. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12302

Country/Region

Kyrgyzstan

Keywords

Central Asia; Asia; Gender; Women’s Empowerment; Capacity Development; Empowerment; Daughrers; Aspirations; Decision Making; Women

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12302 Source record

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

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Working Paper

Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia

2021Thomas, Timothy S.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Robertson, Richard D.; Nazareth, Vijay; Ilyasov, Jarilkasin
Details

Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia

Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key crops in Central Asia will be affected by climate change. We distinguish changes in yields between spring and winter plantings, between irrigated and rainfed crops, and between crops grown with high and low amounts of fertilizer. The results suggest that countries (and areas within countries) that either have moderate summers or grow a number of crops in a relatively cold winter will benefit from climate change, while countries that grow many of the crops in the summer will experience losses.

Year published

2021

Authors

Thomas, Timothy S.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Robertson, Richard D.; Nazareth, Vijay; Ilyasov, Jarilkasin

Citation

Thomas, Timothy S.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Robertson, Richard D.; Nazareth, Vijay; and Ilyasov, Jarilkasin. 2021. Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2081. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134920.

Country/Region

Uzbekistan

Keywords

Central Asia; Asia; Greenhouse Gas Emissions; Crops; Modelling; Capacity Development; Agriculture; Yields; Land Reform; Crop Modelling; Climate Change

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Links

https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134920 Source record

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Working Paper

Blogs

Aspirations and women's empowerment: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan
Research Post
 | 
December 09, 2021

Aspirations and women’s empowerment: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

By Katrina Kosec and Lucia Carrillo

Women with greater ambition tend to have more power within households.

Disparate health and nutrition impacts of income shocks across different household members: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan
Research Post
 | 
November 30, 2021

Disparate health and nutrition impacts of income shocks across different household members: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

By Katrina Kosec and Lucia Carrillo

As COVID-19 pandemic disruptions continue, policies should address shifting effects.

International Women’s Day: Why raising aspirations may be key to achieving gender equality
Research Post
 | 
March 07, 2019

International Women’s Day: Why raising aspirations may be key to achieving gender equality

By Katrina Kosec

Research in Kyrgyzstan shows that individual ambition and women's empowerment are linked.

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