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Danielle Resnick

Danielle Resnick is a Senior Research Fellow in the Markets, Trade, and Institutions Unit and a Non-Resident Fellow in the Global Economy and Development Program at the Brookings Institution. Her research focuses on the political economy of agricultural policy and food systems, governance, and democratization, drawing on extensive fieldwork and policy engagement across Africa and South Asia.

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Development Strategies and Governance

May Thet Htar

Research Analyst

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Bio

May Thet Htar holds a Master’s degree specialized in Agribusiness and has previously worked as the head of market research at a leading agribusiness group in Myanmar. She has collaborated with Yezin Agricultural University on several research projects. In 2022, she has won best paper award at Asia Pacific Journal of Sustainable Agriculture, Food and Energy. She has been awarded Manaaki Scholarship from the New Zealand Government twice for her post graduate studies at Lincoln University and Massey University. She has also been involved in several NZAID development projects implemented Myanmar.

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Publications

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Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – December 2025

2026Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; Masias, Ian
Details

Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – December 2025

Rice prices declined sharply in December 2025 nationally, falling by 20 percent year-on-year and 5 percent month-on-month. These declines were driven by falling international prices and increased market supply from the monsoon harvest. All states and regions saw stable or declining prices month-on-month, with the largest drops observed in major rice-producing regions such as Ayeyarwady (30 percent) and Sagaing (19 percent). While these trends benefit consumers, they raise concerns for paddy producers, especially in light of rising agricultural input costs. Prices of pulses diverged. Green gram prices rose sharply year-on-year (21 percent), supported by export demand following China’s decision to ease its temporary suspension. In contrast, black gram, chickpea, and pigeon pea prices remained well below last year’s levels, reflecting weak demand from India. Maize prices also declined year-on-year (6.5 percent). Animal-sourced food prices surged over the past year, led by mutton (up 58 percent), due to lower production, while fish prices rose amid strong export demand. Multiple risks lie ahead, including weak international agricultural commodity prices, ongoing conflict, export quality concerns, import restrictions affecting livestock production, border trade and regional policy changes, and policy uncertainty, all of which may undermine agricultural incentives, farm incomes, and food security.

Year published

2026

Authors

Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; Masias, Ian

Citation

Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; and Masias, Ian. 2026. Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – December 2025. Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report December 2025. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/180549

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Food Security; Food Prices; Crops; Agricultural Marketing; Rice; Animal Source Foods

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Report

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Journal Article

Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar

2026Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Syntb, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; Mahrt, Kristi
Details

Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar

Agrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected settings and, as a result, the evidence on the disruptions AVC businesses face is thin. In this paper, we rely on novel panel data from AVC businesses in Myanmar, one of 7 countries in the world with extreme conflict. This short paper documents the disruptions experienced by businesses at several levels of the food supply chain, including farmers, input retailers, crop traders, rice millers, and food vendors. We also provide evidence on the implications for prices by analyzing price changes over this period: farm input and sales prices using farm survey data, food retail using data from food vendors, and dietary cost estimates combining consumption and price data. Our results highlight vulnerabilities in food supply chains in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Potential opportunities to strengthen food supply chains in such settings include ensuring access to banking and financial services; minimizing transportation disruptions to mitigate widening gaps between producer and consumer prices; and maintaining access to fuel and electricity as well as cellphone internet networks. Efforts to support these areas could stabilize food availability and reduce food prices, while also increasing farm-gate shares of food prices thereby supporting rural incomes. JEL codes: Q13; Q11; 013

Year published

2026

Authors

Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Syntb, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; Mahrt, Kristi

Citation

Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Synt, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; and Mahrt, Kristi. Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. Article in Press. First published online on May 5, 2025. https://doi.org/10.22434/ifamr.1204

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Agrifood Systems; Value Chains; Conflicts; Food Security; Prices

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.22434/ifamr.1204 Source record

Record type

Journal Article

Resource thumbnail

Report

Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – November 2025

2025Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; Masias, Ian
Details

Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – November 2025

Rice prices in November 2025 declined nationally, falling by 13 percent year-on-year and remaining broadly stable compared to the previous month. The decline continues to be driven by international market trends and downward pressure from the incoming monsoon harvest. Export crop prices diverged. Green gram prices increased sharply year-on-year (34 percent), supported by export demand and a modest month-to-month increase following China’s decision to ease its temporary suspension. In contrast, black gram, chickpea, and pigeon pea prices remained well below last year’s levels, reflecting weak demand from India, despite modest month-to-month increases. Animal-sourced food prices remained substantially higher than last year. Mutton recorded the largest increase, while pork, chicken, and fish also rose sharply year-on-year, reflecting high production costs, disease outbreaks, and constrained supply, although month-to-month changes were more modest. Multiple risks lie ahead, including weak international rice prices, ongoing conflict, export quality concerns, import restrictions affecting livestock production, border trade and regional policy changes, and policy uncertainty around upcoming elections, all of which may undermine agricultural incentives, farm incomes, and food security.

Year published

2025

Authors

Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; Masias, Ian

Citation

Htar, May Thet; Minten, Bart; and Masias, Ian. 2025. Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report – November 2025. Myanmar Monthly Food Price Report November 2025. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179099

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Food Security; Food Prices; Crops; Agricultural Marketing; Rice; Animal Source Foods

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Report

Research

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