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With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

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Kinya Kaibung’a

Kinya Kaibung’a is a Research Officer with the Development Strategies and Governance Unit, based in Nairobi, Kenya. She has a keen interest in leveraging machine learning, AI, and other cutting-edge technologies to boost climate resilience and food security in smart agriculture systems.

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Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

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Markets, Trade, and Institutions

Juan Pablo Gianatiempo

Research Analyst

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Juan Pablo Gianatiempo

Bio

Juan Pablo Gianatiempo is a Research Analyst with the Markets, Trade, and Institutions Unit, and is based at IFPRI-Washington, DC.

Markets, Trade, and Institutions

Publications

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Book Chapter

Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world

2026Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; Laborde Debucquet, David
Details

Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world

Over the past 45 years, world merchandise trade has undergone significant structural transformations, and agrifood products have been part of that evolution. After a period of stagnation in the early 1980s, global trade expanded steadily from the mid-1980s through the early 2000s, driven by trade liberalization, technological progress, and deeper economic integration. This expansion accelerated between 2005 and 2010 with the consolidation of global value chains. Between 2010 and 2020, trade growth slowed amid weaker demand and rising tensions. Following the COVID-19 shock, trade rebounded sharply, reaching a historical peak in 2022, largely driven by price increases in the context of the war in Ukraine and general inflationary trends due to the economic recovery following the pandemic. These price surges proved relatively short-lived, however, and commodity prices have generally declined since mid-2022 as supply conditions improved and markets adjusted.

Year published

2026

Authors

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; Laborde Debucquet, David

Citation

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; and Laborde Debucquet, David. 2026. Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world. In Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14, eds. Valeria Piñeiro, Simon Mevell, and Martin Piñeiro. Part One: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape and the WTO, Chapter 1.4, Pp. 63-83. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183464

Keywords

Africa; Latin America and the Caribbean; Agricultural Trade; Impact; Production Factors; Welfare; Agricultural Products; Policies

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-SA-3.0-IGO

Source

Source record

Record type

Book Chapter

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Book Chapter

Agricultural trade structure, disruptions, and competitiveness in Latin America and the Caribbean

2026Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Rueda, Jorge; Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio
Details

Agricultural trade structure, disruptions, and competitiveness in Latin America and the Caribbean

Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) has a central position in global agricultural trade, both as a major exporter of staple commodities and as a region increasingly exposed to shifts in global demand, trade policy, and geopolitical fragmentation. Recent developments show that agrifood trade is no longer shaped primarily by gradual liberalization or isolated tariff disputes. Instead, it is being reshaped by a more complex environment in which higher tariffs coexist with selective application, exemptions, and preferential treatment. A key insight emerging from recent trade shocks is that markets can adjust, but adjustment increasingly takes place through the reallocation of trade flows rather than through smooth prices or production responses. This has important implications for LAC, where trade is often concentrated around a limited number of products and destinations. As adjustment costs rise, outcomes depend less on aggregate performance and more on structural characteristics such as diversification, bargaining power, and institutional capacity. Against this backdrop, the chapter situates LAC’s experience within the broader global debate, emphasizing the need to align national and regional strategies with a changing global trade landscape.

Year published

2026

Authors

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Rueda, Jorge; Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio

Citation

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Rueda, Jorge; and Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio. 2026. Agricultural trade structure, disruptions, and competitiveness in Latin America and the Caribbean. In Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14, eds. Valeria Piñeiro, Simon Mevell, and Martin Piñeiro. Part Two: Latin America and the Caribbean: Regional Perspective, Chapter 2.1, Pp. 85-104. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183460

Keywords

Latin America and the Caribbean; Trade; Agricultural Trade; Economic Competition; Trade Cycles; Climate Change; Geopolitics; Globalization; Productivity; Policies

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-SA-3.0-IGO

Source

Source record

Record type

Book Chapter

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Book Chapter

Moving the technology frontiers in African agrifood systems: Lessons from Latin America

2026Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; McNamara, Brian
Details

Moving the technology frontiers in African agrifood systems: Lessons from Latin America

Africa’s agrifood systems face a complex set of structural challenges. Low productivity, high vulnerability to climate shocks, fragmented markets, and weak integration into global value chains continue to constrain development. Yet these challenges coexist with significant opportunities. The region’s demographic profile—with more than 50 percent of the population under the age of 25 years—and a projected population growth rate of 2.3 percent in 2025 offer the potential for a demographic dividend that could help drive transformation in agri-food systems.

Year published

2026

Authors

Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; McNamara, Brian

Citation

Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; and McNamara, Brian. 2026. Moving the technology frontiers in African agrifood systems: Lessons from Latin America. In Moving the Technology Frontiers in African Agrifood Systems, eds. Christian Henning, Menale Kassie, and Racine Ly. Chapter 17, Pp. 275-293. Kigali, Rwanda: AKADEMIYA2063. https://doi.org/10.54067/9798991636940

Keywords

Africa; Latin America; Technology; Agrifood Systems; Production; Trade; Food Security; Investment

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.54067/9798991636940 Source record

Record type

Book Chapter

Blogs

The Iran war: Farmers in Brazil and Argentina face rising fertilizer and energy prices
Issue Post
 | 
May 04, 2026

The Iran war: Farmers in Brazil and Argentina face rising fertilizer and energy prices

By Joseph Glauber, Valeria Piñeiro, and Juan Pablo Gianatiempo

The Strait of Hormuz closure reverberates through the food system.

How the Iran crisis affects fertilizer-dependent countries: The case of Mexico
Issue Post
 | 
April 20, 2026

How the Iran crisis affects fertilizer-dependent countries: The case of Mexico

By Valeria Piñeiro, Juan Pablo Gianatiempo, Jorge Amado Rueda, and Joseph Glauber

A challenging dynamic for Latin America and the Caribbean.

Celebrating 50 years of IFPRI: Transforming agrifood systems in Latin America and the Caribbean
Event Post
 | 
October 29, 2025

Celebrating 50 years of IFPRI: Transforming agrifood systems in Latin America and the Caribbean

By Juan Pablo Gianatiempo, Jorge Armando Rueda Gallardo, and Valeria Piñeiro

Regional insights from the 2025 Global Food Policy Report.

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Events

Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14
IFPRI Policy Seminar

 | 

June 30, 2026, 9:00 – 11:00 am

Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14

Agricultural trade is facing an increasingly complex environment shaped by geopolitical tensions, climate pressures, and growing trade disruptions. These developments are reshaping trade flows, affecting food security, and challenging the ability of existing institutions and policy frameworks to respond effectively. These pressures are also creating new opportunities for developing regions to strengthen their competitiveness, resilience, […]