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With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

researcher spotlight

Kinya Kaibung’a

Kinya Kaibung’a is a Research Officer with the Development Strategies and Governance Unit, based in Nairobi, Kenya. She has a keen interest in leveraging machine learning, AI, and other cutting-edge technologies to boost climate resilience and food security in smart agriculture systems.

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Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

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The Earth Planet

Iran

countries and regions

Publications

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Blog Post

Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis?

2026Vos, Rob
Details

Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis?

This post first appeared in Welternährung , the specialist journal of Welthungerhilfe. The article is also available in German .

Year published

2026

Authors

Vos, Rob

Citation

Vos, Rob. 2026. Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? IFPRI Blog Post. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis/

Keywords

Iran; Armed Conflicts; Fragility; Trade

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Blog Post

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Blog Post

Iran war supply chain disruptions: Impacts on India’s economy

2026Pal, Barun Deb; Kumar, Anjani; Sirohi, Smita; Sainath, Banda; Sharma, Kriti; K.V., Praveen
Details

Iran war supply chain disruptions: Impacts on India’s economy

Key takeaways • India’s economy is highly exposed to fuel and fertilizer supply disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, an economic modeling analysis shows. • GDP and household incomes fall across all modeled scenarios. Higher input costs and supply disruptions hit farmers hardest and slow overall economic growth. • Technology offers the most effective policy path to cushion the blow and build resilience. Improving fertilizer efficiency can limit losses while avoiding large subsidy-driven fiscal pressures.

Year published

2026

Authors

Pal, Barun Deb; Kumar, Anjani; Sirohi, Smita; Sainath, Banda; Sharma, Kriti; K.V., Praveen

Citation

Pal, Barun Deb; Kumar, Anjani; Sirohi, Smita; Sainath, Banda; Sharma, Kriti; K.V., Praveen. 2026. Iran war supply chain disruptions: Impacts on India’s economy. IFPRI Blog Post. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/iran-war-supply-chain-disruptions-impacts-on-indias-economy/

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Iran; Southern Asia; Asia; Middle East; Northern Africa; Food Systems; Food Access; Governance

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Blog Post

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Blog Post

Nigeria’s fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict

2026Kirui, Oliver Kiptoo; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph; Hebebrand, Charlotte; Omamo, Steven Were
Details

Nigeria’s fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict

Nigeria is once again under economic pressure from a shock that originated far from its borders, as it faces high global fuel and fertilizer prices triggered by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. For a country still recovering from the inflationary aftermath of the Russia-Ukraine war, the timing could hardly be worse. The shock is reaching Nigeria through three tightly linked channels, fuel, fertilizer, and food, and it threatens to reverse a hard-won decline in food inflation.

Year published

2026

Authors

Kirui, Oliver Kiptoo; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph; Hebebrand, Charlotte; Omamo, Steven Were

Citation

Kirui, Oliver Kiptoo; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph; Hebebrand, Charlotte; Omamo, Steven Were. 2026. Nigeria’s fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict. IFPRI Blog Post. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/nigerias-fuel-fertilizer-and-food-prices-feel-the-strain-of-the-iran-conflict/

Country/Region

Nigeria

Keywords

Iran; Western Africa; Africa; Middle East; Northern Africa; Food Access; Food Prices; Markets; Value Chains

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Blog Post

Blogs

Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis?
Issue Post
 | 
July 02, 2026

Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis?

By Rob Vos

The world’s ability to maintain stable food supplies is increasingly at risk.

Iran war supply chain disruptions: Impacts on India’s economy
Issue Post
 | 
June 25, 2026

Iran war supply chain disruptions: Impacts on India’s economy

By Barun Deb Pal, Anjani Kumar, Smita Sirohi, Banda Sainath, Kriti Sharma, and Praveen K.V.

An analysis shows falling GDP and incomes.

Nigeria's fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict
Issue Post
 | 
June 22, 2026

Nigeria’s fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict

By Oliver Kiptoo Kirui, Adetunji Fasoranti, Temilolu Bamiwuye, Bedru Balana, Joseph Glauber, Charlotte Hebebrand, and Steven Were Omamo

A major energy producer faces complex impacts.

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Events

A Narrow Strait, Global Consequences: Hormuz Strait and Fertilizer Markets
IFPRI Policy Seminar

 | 

April 23, 2026, 9:30 – 11:00 am

A Narrow Strait, Global Consequences: Hormuz Strait and Fertilizer Markets

Fertilizer markets have entered a phase of heightened uncertainty, where geopolitical risks intersect with highly concentrated production, energy dependence, and fragile logistics. These risks are no longer hypothetical. The Strait of Hormuz represents a critical chokepoint for fertilizer trade, with around 35 percent of global urea flows, over one quarter of ammonia trade, just above […]

XVII Biennial IASC Conference
IFPRI at External Event

 | 

July 1 to 5, 2019

XVII Biennial IASC Conference

IFPRI is participating in the XVII Biennial IASC conference, “In Defense of the Commons: Challenges, Innovation, and Action.  The conference will bring together experiences and lessons from around the world to reflect on the multiple ways in which different actors have sought to maintain and defend the commons, as well as the challenges and opportunities faced by […]

News

July 24, 2026 | In the News

The Strait of Hormuz closure is already hitting supermarket prices (OilPrice.com)

The article draws on earlier IFPRI analysis by Rob Vos, “referring to the unfolding situation in fertilizer supply chains as an “input crisis.”

July 03, 2026 | In the News

How a fertilizer shortage caused by the Iran war could affect U.S. food prices (NPR)

NPR interviewed IFPRI’s Rob Vos for a Morning Edition segment on how fertilizer shortages resulting from the Iran war could affect U.S. food prices.

May 19, 2026 | In the News

Fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. Here’s why (Think Landscape)

IFPRI’s Rob Vos is cited saying that South and Southeast Asian countries could be heavily impacted by the current fertilizer price shock.

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