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With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

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Kinya Kaibung’a

Kinya Kaibung’a is a Research Officer with the Development Strategies and Governance Unit, based in Nairobi, Kenya. She has a keen interest in leveraging machine learning, AI, and other cutting-edge technologies to boost climate resilience and food security in smart agriculture systems.

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Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

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IFPRI currently has more than 480 employees working in over 70 countries with a wide range of local, national, and international partners.

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experts

Director General’s Office (DGO)

Joseph Glauber

Research Fellow Emeritus

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Bio

Joe Glauber is a Research Fellow Emeritus in the Director General’s Office. His areas of interest are price volatility, global grain reserves, crop insurance, and trade.

Prior to joining IFPRI, Joe spent over 30 years at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, including as Chief Economist from 2008 to 2014. As Chief Economist, he was responsible for the Department’s agricultural forecasts and projections; oversaw climate, energy, and regulatory issues; and served as Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation. From 2007 to 2009, Joe was the Special Doha Agricultural Envoy at the office of the U.S. Trade Representative where he served as Chief Agricultural Negotiator in the Doha talks. He served as economic adviser at the “Blair House agreements,” leading to the completion of the Uruguay Round negotiations.

Joe is the author of numerous studies on crop insurance, disaster policy, and US farm policy. In 2012, he was elected Fellow of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. He received his PhD in Agricultural Economics from the University of Wisconsin and holds an bachelor’s degree in Anthropology from the University of Chicago.

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Publications

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Book Chapter

Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world

2026Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; Laborde Debucquet, David
Details

Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world

Over the past 45 years, world merchandise trade has undergone significant structural transformations, and agrifood products have been part of that evolution. After a period of stagnation in the early 1980s, global trade expanded steadily from the mid-1980s through the early 2000s, driven by trade liberalization, technological progress, and deeper economic integration. This expansion accelerated between 2005 and 2010 with the consolidation of global value chains. Between 2010 and 2020, trade growth slowed amid weaker demand and rising tensions. Following the COVID-19 shock, trade rebounded sharply, reaching a historical peak in 2022, largely driven by price increases in the context of the war in Ukraine and general inflationary trends due to the economic recovery following the pandemic. These price surges proved relatively short-lived, however, and commodity prices have generally declined since mid-2022 as supply conditions improved and markets adjusted.

Year published

2026

Authors

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; Laborde Debucquet, David

Citation

Piñeiro, Valeria; Gianatiempo, Juan Pablo; Glauber, Joseph W.; Rueda, Jorge; and Laborde Debucquet, David. 2026. Scenarios for agricultural trade in a changing world. In Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14, eds. Valeria Piñeiro, Simon Mevell, and Martin Piñeiro. Part One: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape and the WTO, Chapter 1.4, Pp. 63-83. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183464

Keywords

Africa; Latin America and the Caribbean; Agricultural Trade; Impact; Production Factors; Welfare; Agricultural Products; Policies

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-SA-3.0-IGO

Source

Source record

Record type

Book Chapter

Resource thumbnail

Book Chapter

State of the agricultural negotiations and prospects for progress at MC14

2026Glauber, Joseph W.
Details

State of the agricultural negotiations and prospects for progress at MC14

Agricultural negotiations have largely been stalemated since the collapse of the Doha Round in July 2008. Members have struggled to fulfil in its entirety the mandate set out in Article 20 of the Agreement on Agreement (AOA), as well as other relevant Ministerial mandates. With the exception of a few outcomes, including those on Public Stockholding and the administration of Tariff Rate Quotas at the Ninth Ministerial Conference (MC9) in Bali in 2013, on Export Competition at MC10 in Nairobi in 2015, and on export restrictions for food aid in MC12 in Geneva, there has not been any substantive outcome in the agriculture negotiations since they were launched in 2000. The prospects for a substantive outcome at MC14 in Yaoundé remained limited, as sharp divisions persisted among Members on several critical issues, while recent trade actions have added further strain to the multilateral trading system and risk undermining progress achieved over the past three decades. I begin by reviewing progress in the so-called pillars of the AOA: domestic support, market access, and export competition. I then consider the areas of contention during the Doha Round negotiations, specifically the special safeguard mechanism (SSM), cotton, public stockholding (PSH), and export restrictions. I conclude with a broad assessment of the chances for meaningful progress and discuss some potential avenues beyond Yaoundé.

Year published

2026

Authors

Glauber, Joseph W.

Citation

Glauber, Joseph W. 2026. State of the agricultural negotiations and prospects for progress at MC14. In Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14, eds. Valeria Piñeiro, Simon Mevell, and Martin Piñeiro. Part One: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape and the WTO, Chapter 1.2, Pp. 16-32. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183432

Keywords

Trade Agreements; Trade; Market Access; Exports

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-SA-3.0-IGO

Source

Source record

Record type

Book Chapter

Resource thumbnail

Brief

Effects of the Iran conflict on fuel, fertilizer, and food prices in Nigeria

2026Kirui, Oliver K.; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph W.; Hebebrand, Charlotte; Omamo, Steven Were
Details

Effects of the Iran conflict on fuel, fertilizer, and food prices in Nigeria

Nigeria faces a new wave of economic pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict, with disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz causing sharp increases in global oil and fertilizer prices and threatening to reverse the recent decline in Nigeria’s food inflation. Although Nigeria could benefit from higher oil and fertilizer export revenues due to its expanding domestic refining and urea production capacity, the country remains heavily dependent on imported refined fuel, potash, phosphate, and other fertilizer inputs. Rising transport, logistics, and production costs are already increasing pressure on farmers, food systems, and household welfare. At the same time, however, the crisis presents a strategic opportunity for Nigeria to strengthen domestic refining, expand fertilizer production, deepen regional trade, and reposition itself as a major supplier of fuel and fertilizer across Africa.

Year published

2026

Authors

Kirui, Oliver K.; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph W.; Hebebrand, Charlotte; Omamo, Steven Were

Citation

Kirui, Oliver K.; Fasoranti, Adetunji; Bamiwuye, Temilolu; Balana, Bedru; Glauber, Joseph W.; et al. 2026. Effects of the Iran conflict on fuel, fertilizer, and food prices in Nigeria. NSSP Policy Note 58. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/183398

Country/Region

Nigeria

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Conflicts; Impact; Fuels; Fertilizers; Food Prices; Inflation; Value Chains

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Brief

Blogs

Nigeria's fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict
Issue Post
 | 
June 22, 2026

Nigeria’s fuel, fertilizer, and food prices feel the strain of the Iran conflict

By Oliver Kiptoo Kirui, Adetunji Fasoranti, Temilolu Bamiwuye, Bedru Balana, Joseph Glauber, Charlotte Hebebrand, and Steven Were Omamo

A major energy producer faces complex impacts.

How fertilizer policies could exacerbate Hormuz price shocks
Issue Post
 | 
May 22, 2026

How fertilizer policies could exacerbate Hormuz price shocks

By Shawn Arita, Ming Wang, and Joseph Glauber

Decisions on quotas and subsidies could have significant market impacts.

The Iran war: Farmers in Brazil and Argentina face rising fertilizer and energy prices
Issue Post
 | 
May 04, 2026

The Iran war: Farmers in Brazil and Argentina face rising fertilizer and energy prices

By Joseph Glauber, Valeria Piñeiro, and Juan Pablo Gianatiempo

The Strait of Hormuz closure reverberates through the food system.

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Events

Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14
IFPRI Policy Seminar

 | 

June 30, 2026, 9:00 – 11:00 am

Agricultural Trade at a Crossroads with Latin American, Caribbean, and African Perspectives for Post-MC14

Agricultural trade is facing an increasingly complex environment shaped by geopolitical tensions, climate pressures, and growing trade disruptions. These developments are reshaping trade flows, affecting food security, and challenging the ability of existing institutions and policy frameworks to respond effectively. These pressures are also creating new opportunities for developing regions to strengthen their competitiveness, resilience, […]

Weather, Money, and Shifting Bets: What’s Driving Food Commodity Markets?
IFPRI Policy Seminar

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June 23, 2026, 9:30 – 11:00 am

Weather, Money, and Shifting Bets: What’s Driving Food Commodity Markets?

Global food commodity markets are entering a new phase in which traditional indicators may no longer provide a clear view of market dynamics. While supply conditions for key crops appear quite promising, a closer look reveals a more complex picture—shaped by climate risks, macroeconomic pressures, and shifting market behavior. Join us for this seminar that […]

AI for Food Security Forum
IFPRI at External Event

 | 

April 30, 2026, 8:30 – 6:30 pm

AI for Food Security Forum

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Food Security Forum, brings together U.S. and global policymakers, technology developers, financers, researchers, and implementing partners working at the forefront of AI for food security. Join CSIS, and the member organizations of the AI Collaborative: Food Security, for cross-cutting discussions that explore the promises and risks of AI-enabled technologies for food […]

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News

July 06, 2026 | In the News

Food prices ease in June as focus shifts from war to crops (Bloomberg)

The emphasis has shifted back to more traditional fundamentals in the grains and oilseeds markets, IFPRI’s Joseph Glauber tells Bloomberg.

June 23, 2026 | In the News

Strait of Hormuz reopens but fertilizer markets brace for longer-term supply squeeze (Forbes Middle East)

Forbes Middle East interviewed IFPRI’s Joseph Glauber about the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and what is needed to restore normal fertilizer trade flows.

April 10, 2026 | In the News

The Iran war’s agriculture shock isn’t over yet (Foreign Policy)

Foreign Policy quotes IFPRI’s Joseph Glauber who notes that energy inputs are built into food costs at nearly every step, from production and processing through transportation and retail.

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