Subscribe

Back

Who we are

With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

researcher spotlight

Timothy Thomas

Timothy Thomas is a Senior Research Fellow in the Foresight and Policy Modeling Unit. His research focuses on the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity. Tim’s work involves developing innovative methods for simulated climate futures and model coordination between climate, crop, water, energy, and economics.

Back

What we do

Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

Research topics

Projects and impact

Food Security Portal

Modeling tools

What’s new

Where we work

Back

Where we work

IFPRI currently has more than 480 employees working in over 70 countries with a wide range of local, national, and international partners.

IFPRI Regional Programs

IFPRI Country and Regional Offices

Research by country and region

Subscribe

events

Will El Niño Move Markets? Assessing the Risks for Global Agriculture

Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)

November 12, 2026

  • 9:30 – 11:00 am (America/New_York)
  • 3:30 – 5:00 pm (Europe/Amsterdam)
  • 8:00 – 9:30 pm (Asia/Kolkata)
Register

Please type your questions into the chat box with name, affiliation, and country. The event video, presenter slides, and podcast will be available in the days following the event.

How will El Niño conditions affect global agricultural production, trade flows, and commodity prices, especially amid overlapping shocks from high energy prices and logistical disruptions? Effects on the regions and commodities most exposed to production risks are relatively well understood, but the more critical issue for markets is how shocks could be transmitted through the global trading system.

This policy seminar will examine the potential production, trade, and market implications of El Niño, with a special focus on the resilience of global agricultural markets, and identify key indicators that market participants should monitor in the months ahead. The discussion will explore how strong harvests in some regions could offset production shortfalls elsewhere, how stocks and trade flows could absorb supply disruptions, and how localized weather-related shocks could contribute to tighter global supplies and higher international prices. The seminar will also consider how El Niño-related risks interact with other pressures facing agricultural markets and what this means for the global food system’s ability to absorb supply shocks. The session will feature an expert panel discussion followed by an interactive Q&A with participants.

Opening Remarks

  • Monika Tothova, Senior Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO); Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) Secretary

Presentations

  • Weston Anderson, Assistant Research Professor, Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland (UMD)
  • Shirley Mustafa, Economist, Markets and Trade Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)

Panelists

  • Australia: Pat O’Shannassy, Chief Executive Officer, Grain Trade Australia
  • Other speakers to be announced

Moderators

  • Monika Tothova, Senior Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO); Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) Secretary
  • Joseph Glauber, Research Fellow Emeritus, IFPRI

Links

Countries

Topics

Our Experts

Units