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With research staff from more than 70 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

researcher spotlight

Danielle Resnick

Danielle Resnick is a Senior Research Fellow in the Markets, Trade, and Institutions Unit and a Non-Resident Fellow in the Global Economy and Development Program at the Brookings Institution. Her research focuses on the political economy of agricultural policy and food systems, governance, and democratization, drawing on extensive fieldwork and policy engagement across Africa and South Asia.

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events

Implications of El Niño 2023/24 for Africa South of the Sahara

Co-organized by IFPRI, USAID Famine Early Warning Network (FEWS NET), and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

November 29, 2023

  • 7:30 – 9:00 am (America/New_York)
  • 1:30 – 3:00 pm (Europe/Amsterdam)
  • 6:00 – 7:30 pm (Asia/Kolkata)
Presentations

Climate scientists are anticipating an El Niño event in the upcoming boreal winter season (November 2023–February 2024), ending the recent three-year La Niña. In collaboration with USAID FEWS NET and NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, IFPRI is hosting a presentation on the potential impact of the upcoming El Niño on the global agrifood system, with special emphasis on low-income countries in Africa South of the Sahara. The event will be organized around four short talks. Part 1 will examine the latest scientific outlook for the 2023 El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole climate patterns. Part 2 will focus on El Niño’s impact on global markets, particularly rice markets. Part 3 will provide a sub-national assessment for Ethiopia, Malawi, and Zambia of potentially affected crops and rural populations. Part 4 will present an economywide socioeconomic impact analysis of El Niño at the national level in selected focus countries, including Malawi, using IFPRI’s RIAPA model. The presentation will conclude with a summary of potential hotspots and proposals for policy options, as well as a review of knowledge gaps, points of uncertainty, and priorities for future research and collaboration.

Overview and Global Implications

  • Weston Anderson, Assistant Research Scientist at University of Maryland (UMD) and NASA, Earth Sciences Division
  • Karyn Tabor, Agroclimatology Advisor, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 

Global Markets with a Focus on Rice

Sub-National Implications with a Focus on Ethiopia, Malawi, and Zambia

Socioeconomic Analysis for Malawi

  • James Thurlow, Director, Foresight and Policy Modeling (FPM), IFPRI
  • Joachim De Weerdt, Senior Research Fellow / Malawi Country Program Leader, IFPRI
  • Andrew Jamali, Research Manager, National Planning Commission, Malawi

Moderator

  • Channing Arndt, Senior Director, Transformation Strategies, CGIAR and IFPRI

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