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Kinya Kaibung’a

Kinya Kaibung’a is a Research Officer with the Development Strategies and Governance Unit, based in Nairobi, Kenya. She has a keen interest in leveraging machine learning, AI, and other cutting-edge technologies to boost climate resilience and food security in smart agriculture systems.

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  • Africa Food Systems Forum (AFSF) 2026

    The Africa Food Systems Forum (AFSF) will host its 20th Annual Summit in Kigali, Rwanda from 31 August to 4 September 2026, under the theme “Investing in Africa’s Agri-Food Systems: Nourishing Nations, Growing Jobs, Building Resilience.” The Summit will bring together stakeholders from across the agri-food sector for a programme of plenary sessions, technical discussions,…

  • IFPRI @ World Water Week 2026

    IFPRI is participating in World Water Week 2026, the leading conference on global water issues, taking place August 23–27 in Stockholm, Sweden. World Water Week 2026, organized by the Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI), will bring together decision-makers, experts, practitioners, and other stakeholders from around the world to advance dialogue, collaboration, and innovation on water.…

  • Agricultural Insurance: Innovations, Policies, and Pathways to Scale

    Farm households face numerous risks that can discourage investments and trap them in poverty. Insurance should be a useful tool to reduce these hazards, but agricultural risks are inherently difficult to insure against. Willingness and capacity to pay insurance premiums also range widely. The lack of adequate agricultural insurance is a major concern for governments,…

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Journal Article

Locus of control, climate change adaptation and perception: Evidence from rural Ethiopia

2026Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Tabe Ojong, Martin Paul Jr; Abay, Kibrom A.
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Locus of control, climate change adaptation and perception: Evidence from rural Ethiopia

Despite an overwhelming scientific consensus about the adverse effects of climate change and potential adaptation strategies, the uptake rates of climate adaptation practices fall short of expectations and public perceptions about the drivers and implications of climate change remain mixed. This paper examines whether farmers’ psychological traits, particularly locus of control, predict climate adaptation strategies. We focus on adoption of drought-tolerant varieties, fast-maturing varieties, early/late planting varieties, crop diversification, conservation agriculture, and water harvesting technologies using a large household survey from Ethiopia. We also explore climate change perceptions, and whether and how they align with actual climatic records. We find that farmers with a higher degree of internal locus of control are more likely to adopt various climate adaptation practices and are more likely to perceive changes in mean precipitation and temperature, while those with a higher level of external locus of control are less likely to perceive climate change and hence less likely to adopt climate-resilient practices. One standard deviation increase in internal (external) locus of control is associated with 3–5 percentage points higher (lower) probability of adopting alternative climate adaptation practices. We also find suggestive evidence that farmers’ climate adaptation responses are consistent with their climate perceptions and actual climatic records. These findings highlight the important role of behavioral attributes, including psychological traits, in explaining climate perceptions and subsequent climate actions.

Year published

2026

Authors

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Tabe Ojong, Martin Paul Jr; Abay, Kibrom A.

Citation

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Tabe Ojong, Martin Paul Jr; and Abay, Kibrom A. 2026. Locus of control, climate change adaptation and perception: Evidence from rural Ethiopia. World Development 208(December 2026): 107525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107525

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Climate Change; Climate Change Adaptation; Rural Areas; Farmers

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107525 Source record

Project

Fragility, Conflict, and Migration

Record type

Journal Article

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Journal Article

Integrated hydrological and economic assessment of hydropower and irrigation development in Sudan under climate change

2026Basheer, Mohammed; Elnour, Zuhal; Pérez, Cristo Facundo; Liao, Wenxi; Siddig, Khalid; Ringler, Claudia
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Integrated hydrological and economic assessment of hydropower and irrigation development in Sudan under climate change

Demands for water, energy, and food are rapidly increasing in many low- and middle-income countries, driving the development of large-scale hydropower and irrigation projects. As climate change poses major risks and uncertainties for large-scale infrastructure investments, it is essential to stress-test infrastructure development plans to address these challenges and strengthen resilience. The Nile is one of the world’s longest rivers, draining approximately 10% of Africa’s land surface; Sudan accounts for around 40% of the basin area, and several new large hydropower and irrigation infrastructure projects are planned. We develop an integrated analytical framework for the Nile River system, utilizing 16 climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 6 and hydrological, river system, and Computable General Equilibrium models to evaluate the biophysical and economic impacts of hydropower and irrigation development in Sudan under climate change. The results indicate a projected increase in the naturalized streamflow of the Nile by 2050 due to climate change. A phased hydropower and irrigation development strategy in Sudan – targeting a total of 1,500 MW of hydropower capacity and approximately one million hectares of irrigated wheat – is projected to increase annual hydropower generation by up to 8.1 TWh and expand total wheat area by 283% by 2050. These developments increase the undiscounted national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during 2030–2050 by US$ 0.1 to 0.4 billion per year, with larger increases occurring under high economic growth pathways. This research highlights the interconnected nature of climate change, water resource development, and economic performance, underscoring the importance of integrated assessment in informing investment decisions.

Year published

2026

Authors

Basheer, Mohammed; Elnour, Zuhal; Pérez, Cristo Facundo; Liao, Wenxi; Siddig, Khalid; Ringler, Claudia

Citation

Basheer, Mohammed; Elnour, Zuhal; Pérez, Cristo Facundo; Liao, Wenxi; Siddig, Khalid; and Ringler, Claudia. 2026. Integrated hydrological and economic assessment of hydropower and irrigation development in Sudan under climate change. Journal of Hydrology 679(Part A): 136135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.136135

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Hydrology; Economic Analysis; Water Power; Irrigation; Climate Change; Transboundary Waters; Decision-making; Water; Energy; Foods

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Links

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.136135 Source record

Record type

Journal Article

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Blog Post

Collaborative leadership strengthens research capacity and climate action: Lessons from Tamil Nadu, India

2026Babu, Suresh Chandra; Kumar, D. Suresh; Narayanan, Sudha
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Collaborative leadership strengthens research capacity and climate action: Lessons from Tamil Nadu, India

Key takeaways – Local leadership builds lasting research capacity. In a collaborative project in Tamil Nadu, transferring ownership to local partners helped to ensure long-term sustainability. – Aligning research with local priorities improves impact. Collaboration with local and national stakeholders strengthened adoption and relevance. – Capacity development goes beyond technical training. Management, communication, and leadership skills were critical to project success.

Year published

2026

Authors

Babu, Suresh Chandra; Kumar, D. Suresh; Narayanan, Sudha

Citation

Babu, Suresh Chandra; Kumar, D. Suresh; and Narayanan, Sudha. 2026. Collaborative leadership strengthens research capacity and climate action: Lessons from Tamil Nadu, India. IFPRI Blog Post. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/collaborative-leadership-strengthens-research-capacity-and-climate-action-lessons-from-tamil-nadu-india/

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Capacity Building; Climate Change; Leadership; Collaboration; Research; Climate Action

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Source

Source record

Record type

Blog Post

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