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Both El Niño and the ongoing crisis in Iran threaten to disrupt the global food system and affect food prices through impacts on agricultural production, energy and fertilizer markets, and trade. National governments and international partners face pressure to respond to effects on global markets and prices, as well as the more immediate shocks to production and input costs at the country level. These shocks can have broad implications for countries, as reduced crop and livestock production and higher fuel and fertilizer costs can negatively affect economic growth, poverty, and food security.

Join us for this IFPRI policy seminar examining the implications of overlapping climate and geopolitical shocks for food security. The seminar will feature complementary perspectives on risks at the global level and new IFPRI modeling of direct impacts in Malawi, Kenya, Ethiopia, India, and Guatemala. These presentations will emphasize the range of possible outcomes across countries and scenarios rather than offering a single forecast. A policy-focused panel will then discuss responses to these risks, where important gaps remain, how efforts can be tailored to different country contexts, and what constrained public finances and reduced foreign assistance mean for preparedness and response.

Potential Impacts of El Nino and Iran

• Emerta Aragie, Research Fellow, IFPRI

Closing Remarks

• Ruth Hill, Director, Markets, Trade, and Institutions, IFPRI

Moderator

• Chris Hillbruner, Program Head, Global Food Security Program, IFPRI

The full program will be available soon.